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What doomsday situation is most likely to happen in real life?

I was reading the other day that the polar ice caps have a bank of methane pockets frozen that are starting to release into the atmosphere, accelerating climate change more than our carbon outputs alone by a staggering rate. We’re sprinting to annihilation.

I was thinking maybe a solar emp

Yellowstones dormant super volcano. From Montana to Colorado everything would and could hypothetically be a wasteland.

scarcity of drinking water leading to Mad Max type scenario only the elite wealthy control the water for a time but eventually they lose control and it just leaves post apocalyptic chaos to play out where people fight people for what water is left.

A coronal mass ejection from the sun frying all of our satellites and electronics